Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
