Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
