Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Partick Thistle win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
