Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
