Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.59%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
