SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hibernian in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Raith Rovers |
46.99% ( 0.43) | 22.92% ( 0.13) | 30.08% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.96) | 37.82% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -1.04) | 60.07% ( 1.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( -0.21) | 16.47% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% ( -0.38) | 46.18% ( 0.37) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.82) | 24.54% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( -1.17) | 59.02% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.08% |
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