Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
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