Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%).