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Scottish League One | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
AA

Dumbarton
1 - 2
Alloa

Paton (45')
Boyle (39'), Paton (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cawley (22'), King (82')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dumbarton and Alloa Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawAlloa Athletic
36.44%26.29%37.26%
Both teams to score 53.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58%51.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76%73.23%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74%27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3%62.69%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21%26.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92%62.07%
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 36.44%
    Alloa Athletic 37.26%
    Draw 26.29%
DumbartonDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.3%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 37.26%

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