SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
18.71% ( 0.13) | 22.62% ( 0.01) | 58.68% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.13) | 47.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( 0.12) | 70.1% ( -0.12) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( 0.22) | 39.58% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( 0.2) | 76.26% ( -0.2) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( -0) | 16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.68% ( -0.01) | 45.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.71% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.67% |
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