SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
53.15% ( -2.87) | 22.71% ( 0.52) | 24.14% ( 2.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( 0.26) | 41.6% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( 0.27) | 64% ( -0.27) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% ( -0.87) | 15.67% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.29% ( -1.63) | 44.71% ( 1.63) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 2.19) | 30.76% ( -2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% ( 2.5) | 67.02% ( -2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.62)3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.34)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.47) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.14% |
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