SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stranraer |
45.72% ( -0.07) | 25.1% ( 0.01) | 29.18% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.03) | 48.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.03) | 70.45% ( 0.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0.05) | 21.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( -0.07) | 54.01% ( 0.06) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 0.02) | 30.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( 0.02) | 66.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.72% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.18% |
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