SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
25.35% ( 0.2) | 23.08% ( 0.09) | 51.57% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.23) | 42.1% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( -0.23) | 64.5% ( 0.23) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( 0.04) | 30.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( 0.04) | 66.18% ( -0.04) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.19) | 16.4% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.95% ( -0.34) | 46.05% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.57% |
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