Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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