Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.
