Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.
