Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
49.93% ( -0.19) | 23.12% ( 0.09) | 26.95% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.08% ( -0.31) | 40.91% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.69% ( -0.32) | 63.3% ( 0.32) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.44% ( -0.18) | 16.56% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.66% ( -0.33) | 46.34% ( 0.33) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.78% ( -0.08) | 28.22% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.08% ( -0.1) | 63.92% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 26.95% |
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