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Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 12, 2024 at 1pm UK
East End Park
KH

Dunfermline
2 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Kane (23'), Todd (32')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Johnston (15')
Owens (41')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QotS 1-5 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
49.93% (-0.194 -0.19) 23.12% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 26.95% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08% (-0.308 -0.31)40.91% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.69% (-0.316 -0.32)63.3% (0.316 0.32)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.184 -0.18)16.56% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.331 -0.33)46.34% (0.331 0.33)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)28.22% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.105 -0.1)63.92% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 49.93%
    Kelty Hearts 26.95%
    Draw 23.12%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 26.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 1-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-0 Raith Rovers
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: East Fife 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: QotS 1-5 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-0 Annan
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Cove Rangers
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-1 Elgin
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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