SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
47.38% ( 0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) | 28.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -0.04) | 43.42% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( -0.04) | 65.81% ( 0.03) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( -0.01) | 18.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.3% ( -0.02) | 49.7% ( 0.02) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( -0.03) | 28.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( -0.04) | 63.99% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.69% |
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