Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
