Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
