Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
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