SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
55.41% ( 0.74) | 22.59% ( -0.25) | 22% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.56% ( 0.51) | 43.43% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.17% ( 0.5) | 65.83% ( -0.5) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.43) | 15.55% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.51% ( 0.8) | 44.49% ( -0.8) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( -0.18) | 33.64% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( -0.19) | 70.29% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.24% Total : 22% |
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