Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
