Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
