Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13%) and 3-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
