SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Queen of the South |
33.93% ( -0.14) | 24.86% ( 0.02) | 41.21% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0.13) | 45.41% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.13) | 67.74% ( 0.13) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -0.15) | 25.89% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -0.2) | 60.87% ( 0.2) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% | 22.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0) | 55.33% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.21% |
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