SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | East Fife | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Annan Athletic | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Elgin City | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Albion Rovers | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 70.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Albion Rovers |
70.65% ( -0.63) | 17.36% ( 0.45) | 11.99% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.19% ( -1.68) | 37.81% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( -1.82) | 60.06% ( 1.82) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.47% ( -0.58) | 9.53% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.05% ( -1.38) | 31.95% ( 1.38) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.61% ( -0.82) | 42.39% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% ( -0.71) | 78.77% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Albion Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.07% Total : 70.65% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 11.99% |
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