Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.