SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Stranraer | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Albion Rovers | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Dumbarton |
30.97% ( -0.53) | 25.56% ( 0.29) | 43.47% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( -1.44) | 49.43% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( -1.31) | 71.47% ( 1.3) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -1.07) | 29.74% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( -1.32) | 65.81% ( 1.32) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0.5) | 22.66% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -0.75) | 56.3% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.97% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.46% |
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