SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | East Fife | 5 | 1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
28.37% ( -0.65) | 24.5% ( -0.39) | 47.13% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 1.33) | 46.16% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 1.24) | 68.46% ( -1.25) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.21) | 29.9% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% ( 0.25) | 66% ( -0.26) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.98) | 19.67% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( 1.57) | 51.66% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)Other @ 3% Total : 47.13% |
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