SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | East Fife | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | East Fife | 6 | 0 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
38.8% ( -0.55) | 26.52% ( 0.31) | 34.68% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% ( -1.24) | 52.52% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( -1.07) | 74.19% ( 1.07) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.88) | 26.44% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -1.18) | 61.61% ( 1.18) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.45) | 28.86% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.57) | 64.73% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.68% |
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