SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
37.14% ( 0.08) | 25.9% ( 0.01) | 36.97% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.02) | 49.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.02) | 71.73% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.03) | 26.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( 0.05) | 61.11% ( -0.04) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.06) | 26.16% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( -0.08) | 61.24% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.97% |
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