Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.