Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
48.24% ( -0.02) | 23.02% ( 0.04) | 28.73% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.7% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.83% ( -0.22) | 39.17% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.5% ( -0.24) | 61.5% ( 0.24) |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.47% ( -0.09) | 16.53% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.72% ( -0.17) | 46.27% ( 0.17) |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.13) | 26.08% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.86% ( -0.17) | 61.14% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.24% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.73% |
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