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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
S

Bonnyrigg Rose
3 - 2
Stranraer

Gray (28'), Mitchell (37'), Martyniuk (83' pen.)
Mitchell (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Walker (13'), Watt (86')
Malcolm (42'), Kouider-Aissa (90+8')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: East Fife 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 3-1 Stirling
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawStranraer
48.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 23.02% (0.044 0.04) 28.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.7% (-0.175 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (-0.224 -0.22)39.17% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (-0.236 -0.24)61.5% (0.236 0.24)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)16.53% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (-0.166 -0.17)46.27% (0.166 0.17)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.128 -0.13)26.08% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.173 -0.17)61.14% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 48.24%
    Stranraer 28.73%
    Draw 23.02%
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawStranraer
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.73%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: East Fife 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 2-3 Elgin
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 3-1 Stirling
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-1 Annan
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-0 Stranraer
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 3-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-0 Stranraer
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-0 Forfar
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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