SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
40.56% ( -0.23) | 25.26% ( 0.23) | 34.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( -1.01) | 47.15% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( -0.94) | 69.39% ( 0.94) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.55) | 23.09% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( -0.82) | 56.93% ( 0.82) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.48) | 26.57% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( -0.63) | 61.78% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.18% |
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