Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.