SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Albion Rovers | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
43.8% ( 0.05) | 26.61% ( -0) | 29.59% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.01) | 54.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.01) | 75.67% ( 0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 0.02) | 24.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( 0.02) | 59.12% ( -0.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( -0.04) | 33.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( -0.04) | 69.82% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.59% |
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