SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Albion Rovers | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
40.22% ( 0.61) | 25.06% ( -0.16) | 34.71% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( 0.66) | 46.19% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( 0.62) | 68.48% ( -0.62) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.6) | 22.83% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.88) | 56.55% ( -0.88) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.05) | 25.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( 0.07) | 60.75% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.71% |
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