Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Borough Briggs

Elgin
3 - 1
Stenhousemuir

Hester (29'), Dolzanski (33'), Dingwall (58')
Dolzanski (21'), Hester (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Orr (72')
Jamieson (33'), O'Reilly (45+2'), Crighton (65')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Elgin City and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Stenhousemuir
40.22% ( 0.61)	25.06% ( -0.16)	34.71% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.81% (

0.66)

46.19% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51% (

0.62)

68.48% (

-0.62)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

0.6)

22.83% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.44% (

0.88)

56.55% (

-0.88)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

0.05)

25.8% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

0.07)

60.75% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 40.22%

Stenhousemuir 34.71%

Draw 25.06%

Elgin City	Draw	Stenhousemuir
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.22%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.71%