SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
59.55% ( -0.63) | 22.19% ( 0.14) | 18.25% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.13) | 46.8% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.13) | 69.06% ( -0.13) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.16) | 15.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.92% ( -0.3) | 44.08% ( 0.3) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.64) | 39.44% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% ( 0.59) | 76.13% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.54% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.08)Other @ 1% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.25% |
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