Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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