SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
29.23% ( 0.2) | 24.38% ( 0.06) | 46.39% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.15) | 45.17% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.14) | 67.51% ( 0.14) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( 0.06) | 28.79% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( 0.08) | 64.64% ( -0.08) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( -0.17) | 19.59% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.48% ( -0.27) | 51.52% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.23% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.39% |
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