Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Edinburgh City in this match.