Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.