Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.57%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.