SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
21.5% ( -0.59) | 22.25% ( -0.57) | 56.25% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( 1.82) | 42.49% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( 1.79) | 64.89% ( -1.79) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( 0.47) | 33.57% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% ( 0.51) | 70.21% ( -0.52) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 1.02) | 14.94% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.65% ( 1.9) | 43.35% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 21.5% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.42)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.25% |
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