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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
33.18% ( 0.21) | 27.93% ( -0.03) | 38.89% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0.15) | 58.2% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( 0.12) | 78.84% ( -0.12) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.22) | 32.68% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( 0.24) | 69.23% ( -0.25) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.03) | 29.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.04) | 65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.18% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.89% |
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