SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
57.72% ( 0.18) | 22.45% ( -0.04) | 19.82% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.04) | 45.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -0.04) | 67.97% ( 0.04) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( 0.05) | 15.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( 0.09) | 44.47% ( -0.08) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( -0.18) | 37.04% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( -0.17) | 73.83% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 19.82% |
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