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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
33.54% ( 0.06) | 25.78% ( 0.01) | 40.67% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.03) | 49.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.03) | 71.63% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.02) | 28.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( 0.02) | 63.83% ( -0.02) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.05) | 24.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.07) | 58.42% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.67% |
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