Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
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