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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Elgin City |
28.32% ( 0.12) | 24.86% ( 0.31) | 46.83% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -1.26) | 47.76% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -1.17) | 69.95% ( 1.17) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -0.56) | 30.77% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% ( -0.67) | 67.03% ( 0.67) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.68) | 20.45% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( -1.1) | 52.9% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.83% |
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