SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
49.94% ( 0.63) | 24.79% ( 0.05) | 25.28% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.75) | 49.6% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.68) | 71.62% ( 0.67) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( -0.04) | 19.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( -0.06) | 51.99% ( 0.06) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.97) | 34.14% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -1.05) | 70.83% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.28% |
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